Daniel Swain vs Kamuela Kirk
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
20-11-1Record12-7-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'9"
TBDReach75"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Warrior CampTeamSiege MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1597
If they lose-12→ 1573
If they win+16→ 1599
If they lose-16→ 1567
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1573 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1586 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Daniel SwainKamuela Kirk
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Kamuela Kirk52%
Daniel Swain 48%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Kamuela Kirk a 52% favorite over Daniel Swain in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Daniel Swain's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1585 vs 1583), separated by just 2 points.
Daniel Swain enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Kamuela Kirk enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Daniel Swain finishes 85% of wins inside the distance, Kamuela Kirk 92%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.