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Combat Edge Intelligence

Daniel Swain vs Marcin Bandel

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Daniel Swain
us

Daniel Swain

“Agent Orange”

20-11-1LightweightLFA

1591Solid

Tale of the tape

20-11-1Record22-10-1
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height5'10"
TBDReachTBD
155 lbsWeight170 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Daniel SwainNow 1591
If they win+12→ 1603
If they lose-12→ 1579
Marcin BandelNow 1592
If they win+12→ 1604
If they lose-12→ 1580

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1592 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1559 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

0.80
Sig. strikes / min
0.79
44%
Strike accuracy
50%
3.20
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.26
41%
Strike defense
23%
0
Takedown avg.
0
Not available
Takedown accuracy
0%
0%
Takedown defense
0%
6
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Daniel SwainMarcin Bandel
1600165020192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (25%)
KO/TKO
1 (5%)
12 (60%)
Submission
19 (86%)
3 (15%)
Decision
2 (9%)

Combat Edge model read

Marcin Bandel56%
Daniel Swain 44%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Marcin Bandel a 56% favorite over Daniel Swain in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1591 vs 1592), separated by just 1 points.

Daniel Swain enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Marcin Bandel enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Daniel Swain finishes 85% of wins inside the distance, Marcin Bandel 91%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.