Combat Edge Intelligence

Daniel Valderrama vs Jared Rollins

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

2-0-0Record8-4-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'8"Height5'9"
-ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight185 lbs
Team Onomeyus MMATeamTeam Oyama· 1645 avg Elo · 6 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Daniel ValderramaNow 1551
If they win+24→ 1575
If they lose-24→ 1527
Jared RollinsNow 1552
If they win+16→ 1568
If they lose-16→ 1536

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1500 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1505 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.33
TBD
Strike accuracy
57%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.41
TBD
Strike defense
40%
TBD
Takedown avg.
2.50
TBD
Takedown accuracy
50%
TBD
Takedown defense
50%
TBD
Submission avg.
1.25

Trajectory

Daniel ValderramaJared Rollins
15501600200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (50%)
KO/TKO
4 (57%)
0 (0%)
Submission
3 (43%)
1 (50%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Daniel Valderrama76%
Jared Rollins 24%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Daniel Valderrama a 76% favorite over Jared Rollins in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jared Rollins's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1551 vs 1552), separated by just 1 points.

Daniel Valderrama enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Jared Rollins 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.