Combat Edge Intelligence

Daniel Valderrama vs Matt Lee

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Matt Lee
us

Matt Lee

14-10-1WelterweightVP

1549Average

Tale of the tape

2-0-0Record14-10-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'8"Height6'0"
-ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Team Onomeyus MMATeamThe Factory

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Daniel ValderramaNow 1551
If they win+24→ 1575
If they lose-24→ 1527
Matt LeeNow 1549
If they win+12→ 1561
If they lose-12→ 1537

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1500 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1532 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Daniel ValderramaMatt Lee
155020102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (50%)
KO/TKO
5 (36%)
0 (0%)
Submission
1 (7%)
1 (50%)
Decision
8 (57%)

Combat Edge model read

Daniel Valderrama79%
Matt Lee 21%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Daniel Valderrama a 79% favorite over Matt Lee in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1551 vs 1549), separated by just 2 points.

Daniel Valderrama enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Matt Lee 43%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.