Daniel Valderrama vs Nate Moore
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
2-0-0Record8-4-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'8"Height6'0"
-ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight171 lbs
Team Onomeyus MMATeamAmerican Kickboxing Academy· 1641 avg Elo · 5 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1575
If they lose-24→ 1527
If they win+16→ 1570
If they lose-16→ 1538
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1500 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1564 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Daniel ValderramaNate Moore
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Daniel Valderrama75%
Nate Moore 25%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Daniel Valderrama a 75% favorite over Nate Moore in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Nate Moore's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1551 vs 1554), separated by just 3 points.
Daniel Valderrama enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Nate Moore enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Nate Moore 88%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.