Combat Edge Intelligence

Daniel Valderrama vs Nonato Junior

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

1-0-0Record19-13-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'8"Height5'7"
-Reach-
170 lbsWeight161 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Daniel ValderramaNow 1529
If they win+24→ 1553
If they lose-24→ 1505
Nonato JuniorNow 1526
If they win+12→ 1538
If they lose-12→ 1514

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1500 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1546 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Daniel ValderramaNonato Junior
150015501600202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (100%)
KO/TKO
1 (5%)
0 (0%)
Submission
16 (84%)
0 (0%)
Decision
2 (11%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Daniel Valderrama and Nonato Junior within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1529 vs 1526), separated by just 3 points.

Nonato Junior enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Nonato Junior 89%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.