Combat Edge Intelligence

Daniel Zellhuber vs Edson Barboza

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-4-0Record24-15-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
6'1"Height5'11"
77"Reach75"
155 lbsWeight145 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Daniel ZellhuberNow 1681
If they win+15→ 1696
If they lose-17→ 1664
Edson BarbozaNow 1669
If they win+12→ 1681
If they lose-12→ 1657

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1633 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1725 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.83
Sig. strikes / min
4.14
39%
Strike accuracy
45%
5.91
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.68
56%
Strike defense
56%
0.15
Takedown avg.
0.43
25%
Takedown accuracy
32%
95%
Takedown defense
73%
0.15
Submission avg.
0.08

Trajectory

Daniel ZellhuberEdson Barboza
165017001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (47%)
KO/TKO
14 (58%)
3 (20%)
Submission
1 (4%)
5 (33%)
Decision
9 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

Daniel Zellhuber53%
Edson Barboza 47%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes Daniel Zellhuber a 53% favorite over Edson Barboza in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1681 vs 1669), separated by just 12 points.

Daniel Zellhuber enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Edson Barboza enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Daniel Zellhuber finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Edson Barboza 63%.

Daniel Zellhuber and Edson Barboza share 1 common opponent: Esteban Ribovics.

Daniel Zellhuber carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossDecision (split) · 2024
Esteban Ribovics
LossTKO · 2026