Combat Edge Intelligence

Daniel Zellhuber vs Edson Barboza

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-4-0Record24-14-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
6'1"Height5'11"
77"Reach75"
155 lbsWeight145 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Daniel ZellhuberNow 1681
If they win+16→ 1697
If they lose-16→ 1665
Edson BarbozaNow 1682
If they win+12→ 1694
If they lose-12→ 1670

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1633 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1724 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.83
Sig. strikes / min
4.14
39%
Strike accuracy
45%
5.91
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.68
56%
Strike defense
56%
0.15
Takedown avg.
0.43
25%
Takedown accuracy
32%
95%
Takedown defense
73%
0.15
Submission avg.
0.08

Trajectory

Daniel ZellhuberEdson Barboza
17001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (47%)
KO/TKO
14 (58%)
3 (20%)
Submission
1 (4%)
5 (33%)
Decision
9 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

Daniel Zellhuber60%
Edson Barboza 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Daniel Zellhuber a 60% favorite over Edson Barboza in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Edson Barboza's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1681 vs 1682), separated by just 1 points.

Daniel Zellhuber enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Edson Barboza enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Daniel Zellhuber finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Edson Barboza 63%.

Daniel Zellhuber carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.