Combat Edge Intelligence

Daniel Zellhuber vs Esteban Ribovics

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-4-0Record15-3-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'1"Height5'10"
77"Reach69"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamKill Cliff FC

What's at stake

Esteban Ribovics is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Daniel Zellhuber carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Daniel ZellhuberNow 1681
If they win+18→ 1699
If they lose-14→ 1667
Esteban RibovicsNow 1728
If they win+14→ 1742
If they lose-18→ 1710

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1633 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1651 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.83
Sig. strikes / min
7.27
39%
Strike accuracy
43%
5.91
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.83
56%
Strike defense
55%
0.15
Takedown avg.
0.35
25%
Takedown accuracy
0%
95%
Takedown defense
66%
0.15
Submission avg.
0.17

Trajectory

Daniel ZellhuberEsteban Ribovics
17001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (47%)
KO/TKO
7 (47%)
3 (20%)
Submission
5 (33%)
5 (33%)
Decision
3 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Daniel Zellhuber and Esteban Ribovics within a point of even.

Esteban Ribovics holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1728 to 1681, a 47-point edge.

Daniel Zellhuber enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Daniel Zellhuber finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Esteban Ribovics 80%.

Daniel Zellhuber carries a 8-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.