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Combat Edge Intelligence

Daniel Zellhuber vs Francisco Prado

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

15-4-0Record12-5-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'1"Height5'10"
77"Reach69"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamThe Goat Shed Academy· 1671 avg Elo · 8 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Daniel ZellhuberNow 1682
If they win+16→ 1698
If they lose-16→ 1666
Francisco PradoNow 1672
If they win+16→ 1688
If they lose-16→ 1656

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1633 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1622 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

5.83
Sig. strikes / min
3.68
39%
Strike accuracy
44%
5.91
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.31
56%
Strike defense
54%
0.15
Takedown avg.
0.76
25%
Takedown accuracy
0%
95%
Takedown defense
40%
0.15
Submission avg.
0.76

Trajectory

Daniel ZellhuberFrancisco Prado
165017001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (47%)
KO/TKO
6 (50%)
3 (20%)
Submission
6 (50%)
5 (33%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Francisco Prado60%
Daniel Zellhuber 40%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Francisco Prado a 60% favorite over Daniel Zellhuber in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Daniel Zellhuber's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1682 vs 1672), separated by just 10 points.

Daniel Zellhuber enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Daniel Zellhuber finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Francisco Prado 100%.

Daniel Zellhuber carries a 8-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.