Daniel Zellhuber vs Francisco Prado
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-4-0Record12-5-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'1"Height5'10"
77"Reach69"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamThe Goat Shed Academy
What's at stake
Daniel Zellhuber is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Francisco Prado carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1696
If they lose-17→ 1664
If they win+17→ 1669
If they lose-15→ 1637
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1633 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1608 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Daniel ZellhuberFrancisco Prado
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Daniel Zellhuber and Francisco Prado within a point of even.
Daniel Zellhuber holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1681 to 1652, a 29-point edge.
Daniel Zellhuber enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Francisco Prado enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Daniel Zellhuber finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Francisco Prado 100%.
Daniel Zellhuber carries a 8-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.