Combat Edge Intelligence

Daniel Zellhuber vs Michael Johnson

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-4-0Record24-20-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'1"Height5'10"
77"Reach73"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamKill Cliff FC

What's at stake

Daniel Zellhuber is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Michael Johnson carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Daniel ZellhuberNow 1681
If they win+13→ 1694
If they lose-19→ 1662
Michael JohnsonNow 1613
If they win+14→ 1627
If they lose-10→ 1603

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1633 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1666 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.83
Sig. strikes / min
4.28
39%
Strike accuracy
40%
5.91
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.79
56%
Strike defense
59%
0.15
Takedown avg.
0.58
25%
Takedown accuracy
39%
95%
Takedown defense
81%
0.15
Submission avg.
0.04

Trajectory

Daniel ZellhuberMichael Johnson
1600165017001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (47%)
KO/TKO
10 (42%)
3 (20%)
Submission
2 (8%)
5 (33%)
Decision
12 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Daniel Zellhuber71%
Michael Johnson 29%Elo baseline: 60%

The Combat Edge model makes Daniel Zellhuber a 71% favorite over Michael Johnson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).

Daniel Zellhuber holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1681 to 1613, a 68-point edge.

Daniel Zellhuber enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Daniel Zellhuber finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Michael Johnson 50%.

Daniel Zellhuber carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.