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Combat Edge Intelligence

Daniil Donchenko vs Islam Dulatov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

15-2-0Record12-1-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height6'3"
71"Reach75"
155 lbsWeight170 lbs
Tiger Muay ThaiTeamTriple One Gym

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Daniil DonchenkoNow 1724
If they win+16→ 1740
If they lose-16→ 1708
Islam DulatovNow 1725
If they win+16→ 1741
If they lose-16→ 1709

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1570 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1527 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

8.07
Sig. strikes / min
8.78
62%
Strike accuracy
55%
2.80
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.24
70%
Strike defense
50%
0.58
Takedown avg.
2.20
33%
Takedown accuracy
0%
75%
Takedown defense
100%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Daniil DonchenkoIslam Dulatov
1600165017002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (60%)
KO/TKO
7 (58%)
2 (13%)
Submission
5 (42%)
4 (27%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Islam Dulatov53%
Daniil Donchenko 47%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Islam Dulatov a 53% favorite over Daniil Donchenko in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1724 vs 1725), separated by just 1 points.

Daniil Donchenko enters on a 8-fight win streak.

Islam Dulatov enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Daniil Donchenko finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Islam Dulatov 100%.

Islam Dulatov carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.