Daniil Donchenko vs Kevin Lee
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-2-0 Record 20-9-0
Lightweight Division Welterweight
5'11" Height 5'9"
71" Reach 77"
155 lbs Weight 170 lbs
Tiger Muay Thai Team Tristar Gym
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1727
If they lose-16→ 1695
If they win+12→ 1723
If they lose-12→ 1699
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Daniil Donchenko Kevin Lee
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Daniil Donchenko77%
Kevin Lee23%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Daniil Donchenko a 77% favorite over Kevin Lee in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1711 vs 1711), separated by just 0 points.
Daniil Donchenko enters on a 7-fight win streak.
Daniil Donchenko finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Kevin Lee 60%.
Kevin Lee carries a 6-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.