Daniil Donchenko vs Paul Daley
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-2-0Record43-18-2
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height5'9"
71"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight171 lbs
Tiger Muay ThaiTeamSpirit Dojo
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1740
If they lose-16→ 1708
If they win+12→ 1736
If they lose-12→ 1712
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1571 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1649 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Daniil DonchenkoPaul Daley
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Daniil Donchenko56%
Paul Daley 44%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Daniil Donchenko a 56% favorite over Paul Daley in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1724 vs 1724), separated by just 0 points.
Daniil Donchenko enters on a 8-fight win streak.
Daniil Donchenko finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Paul Daley 81%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.