Combat Edge Intelligence

Daniil Donchenko vs Rodrigo Sezinando

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

14-2-0 Record 8-2-0
Lightweight Division Middleweight
5'11" Height TBD
71" Reach 71"
155 lbs Weight 185 lbs
Tiger Muay Thai Team Nova Uniao

What's at stake

Daniil Donchenko is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Rodrigo Sezinando carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Daniil DonchenkoNow 1711
If they win+12→ 1723
If they lose-20→ 1691
Rodrigo SezinandoNow 1621
If they win+20→ 1641
If they lose-12→ 1609

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Tracked stat edges

7.15
Sig. strikes / min
0
60%
Strike accuracy
TBD
2.57
Strikes absorbed / min Lower is better
TBD
73%
Strike defense
TBD
0.77
Takedown avg.
TBD
33%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
75%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Daniil Donchenko Rodrigo Sezinando
1550 1600 1650 1700 2023 2024 2025 2026

Win method breakdown

9 (64%)
KO/TKO
4 (57%)
2 (14%)
Submission
2 (29%)
3 (21%)
Decision
1 (14%)

Combat Edge model read

Daniil Donchenko92%
Rodrigo Sezinando8%Elo baseline: 63%

The Combat Edge model makes Daniil Donchenko a 92% favorite over Rodrigo Sezinando in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).

Daniil Donchenko holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1711 to 1621, a 90-point edge.

Daniil Donchenko enters on a 7-fight win streak.

Daniil Donchenko finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Rodrigo Sezinando 86%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.