Daniil Donchenko vs Rodrigo Sezinando
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-2-0Record8-2-0
LightweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'11"HeightTBD
71"Reach71"
155 lbsWeight185 lbs
Tiger Muay ThaiTeamNova Uniao
What's at stake
Daniil Donchenko is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Rodrigo Sezinando carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1735
If they lose-21→ 1703
If they win+21→ 1641
If they lose-11→ 1609
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1570 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1512 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Daniil DonchenkoRodrigo Sezinando
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Daniil Donchenko72%
Rodrigo Sezinando 28%Elo baseline: 65%
The Combat Edge model makes Daniil Donchenko a 72% favorite over Rodrigo Sezinando in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (65%).
Daniil Donchenko holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1724 to 1620, a 104-point edge.
Daniil Donchenko enters on a 8-fight win streak.
Daniil Donchenko finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Rodrigo Sezinando 88%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.