Daniil Donchenko vs Theodor Berggren
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-2-0Record8-4-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height6'0"
71"Reach75"
155 lbsWeight167 lbs
Tiger Muay ThaiTeamRenyi
What's at stake
Daniil Donchenko is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Theodor Berggren carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1734
If they lose-22→ 1702
If they win+22→ 1609
If they lose-10→ 1577
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1570 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1533 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Daniil DonchenkoTheodor Berggren
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Daniil Donchenko69%
Theodor Berggren 31%Elo baseline: 69%
The Combat Edge model makes Daniil Donchenko a 69% favorite over Theodor Berggren in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (69%).
Daniil Donchenko holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1724 to 1587, a 137-point edge.
Daniil Donchenko enters on a 8-fight win streak.
Daniil Donchenko finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Theodor Berggren 100%.
Theodor Berggren carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.