Daniil Donchenko vs Theodor Berggren
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
14-2-0Record8-4-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height6'0"
71"Reach75"
155 lbsWeight167 lbs
Tiger Muay ThaiTeamRenyi
What's at stake
Daniil Donchenko is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Theodor Berggren carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1722
If they lose-21→ 1690
If they win+21→ 1610
If they lose-11→ 1578
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1553 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1536 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Daniil DonchenkoTheodor Berggren
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Daniil Donchenko64%
Theodor Berggren 36%Elo baseline: 67%
The Combat Edge model makes Daniil Donchenko a 64% favorite over Theodor Berggren in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (67%).
Daniil Donchenko holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1711 to 1589, a 122-point edge.
Daniil Donchenko enters on a 7-fight win streak.
Daniil Donchenko finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Theodor Berggren 100%.
Theodor Berggren carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.