Combat Edge Intelligence

Danillo Villefort vs Jesse Lennox

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-6-0Record14-4-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height5'9"
TBDReachTBD
186 lbsWeight170 lbs
BlackziliansTeamMiletich Martial Arts

What's at stake

Jesse Lennox is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Danillo Villefort carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Danillo VillefortNow 1623
If they win+17→ 1640
If they lose-15→ 1608
Jesse LennoxNow 1644
If they win+15→ 1659
If they lose-17→ 1627

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1588 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1555 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.86
Sig. strikes / min
2.69
37%
Strike accuracy
32%
2.40
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.20
69%
Strike defense
65%
1.71
Takedown avg.
1.22
67%
Takedown accuracy
67%
33%
Takedown defense
64%
1.71
Submission avg.
0.31

Trajectory

Danillo VillefortJesse Lennox
165020082009201020112012201320142015201620172018

Win method breakdown

6 (40%)
KO/TKO
8 (57%)
5 (33%)
Submission
6 (43%)
4 (27%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Danillo Villefort54%
Jesse Lennox 46%Elo baseline: 47%

The Combat Edge model makes Danillo Villefort a 54% favorite over Jesse Lennox in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jesse Lennox's way (47%).

Jesse Lennox holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1644 to 1623, a 21-point edge.

Jesse Lennox enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Danillo Villefort finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Jesse Lennox 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.