Combat Edge Intelligence

Danillo Villefort vs Zach Scroggin

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-6-0Record7-1-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'3"
TBDReach74"
186 lbsWeight183 lbs
BlackziliansTeamMarathon MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Danillo VillefortNow 1624
If they win+16→ 1640
If they lose-16→ 1608
Zach ScrogginNow 1623
If they win+24→ 1647
If they lose-24→ 1599

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1588 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1517 · 8 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.86
Sig. strikes / min
2.40
37%
Strike accuracy
38%
2.40
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
8.80
69%
Strike defense
69%
1.71
Takedown avg.
0
67%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
33%
Takedown defense
0%
1.71
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Danillo VillefortZach Scroggin
150015501600165020172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

6 (40%)
KO/TKO
3 (43%)
5 (33%)
Submission
2 (29%)
4 (27%)
Decision
2 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

Zach Scroggin63%
Danillo Villefort 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Zach Scroggin a 63% favorite over Danillo Villefort in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Danillo Villefort's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1624 vs 1623), separated by just 1 points.

Danillo Villefort finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Zach Scroggin 71%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.