Combat Edge Intelligence

Danilo Belluardo vs Edmund Kwan

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

13-6-0Record5-2-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'8"
74,5"Reach71"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Aurora MMA· 1581 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamAmerican Kickboxing Academy· 1641 avg Elo · 5 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Danilo BelluardoNow 1558
If they win+16→ 1574
If they lose-16→ 1542
Edmund KwanNow 1561
If they win+24→ 1585
If they lose-24→ 1537

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1521 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1507 · 7 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.52
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
62%
Strike accuracy
TBD
4.79
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
41%
Strike defense
TBD
3.50
Takedown avg.
TBD
100%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
50%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Danilo BelluardoEdmund Kwan
1550160020192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (54%)
KO/TKO
1 (20%)
3 (23%)
Submission
4 (80%)
3 (23%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Edmund Kwan60%
Danilo Belluardo 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Edmund Kwan a 60% favorite over Danilo Belluardo in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1558 vs 1561), separated by just 3 points.

Danilo Belluardo finishes 77% of wins inside the distance, Edmund Kwan 100%.

Danilo Belluardo carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.