Danilo Belluardo vs Niklas Stolze
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-7-0Record14-10-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height6'0"
74,5"Reach74"
155 lbsWeight171 lbs
Aurora MMA· 1567 avg Elo · 13 ratedTeamSBG Ireland
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1551
If they lose-16→ 1519
If they win+16→ 1551
If they lose-16→ 1519
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1529 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1604 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Danilo BelluardoNiklas Stolze
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Niklas Stolze64%
Danilo Belluardo 36%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Niklas Stolze a 64% favorite over Danilo Belluardo in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Danilo Belluardo's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1535 vs 1535), separated by just 0 points.
Niklas Stolze enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Danilo Belluardo finishes 77% of wins inside the distance, Niklas Stolze 79%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.