Combat Edge Intelligence

Danilo Belluardo vs Nurbek Abdykadyrov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

13-6-0Record7-4-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'8"
74,5"Reach-
155 lbsWeight147 lbs
Aurora MMA· 1581 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamJash-Kuch

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Danilo BelluardoNow 1558
If they win+16→ 1574
If they lose-16→ 1542
Nurbek AbdykadyrovNow 1556
If they win+16→ 1572
If they lose-16→ 1540

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1521 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1518 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.52
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
62%
Strike accuracy
TBD
4.79
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
41%
Strike defense
TBD
3.50
Takedown avg.
TBD
100%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
50%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Danilo BelluardoNurbek Abdykadyrov
1550160020192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (54%)
KO/TKO
3 (43%)
3 (23%)
Submission
1 (14%)
3 (23%)
Decision
3 (43%)

Combat Edge model read

Nurbek Abdykadyrov51%
Danilo Belluardo 49%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Nurbek Abdykadyrov a 51% favorite over Danilo Belluardo in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Danilo Belluardo's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1558 vs 1556), separated by just 2 points.

Danilo Belluardo finishes 77% of wins inside the distance, Nurbek Abdykadyrov 57%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.