AdvertisementRemove ads — go Premium
Combat Edge Intelligence

Danilo Belluardo vs Scott McAfee

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

13-7-0Record14-7-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'8"
74,5"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Aurora MMA· 1562 avg Elo · 14 ratedTeamTeam Alpha Male· 1646 avg Elo · 20 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Danilo BelluardoNow 1536
If they win+16→ 1552
If they lose-16→ 1520
Scott McAfeeNow 1539
If they win+16→ 1555
If they lose-16→ 1523

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1532 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1501 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

1.52
Sig. strikes / min
0
62%
Strike accuracy
Not available
4.79
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.33
41%
Strike defense
50%
3.50
Takedown avg.
0
100%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
50%
Takedown defense
0%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Danilo BelluardoScott McAfee
155020122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

7 (54%)
KO/TKO
5 (36%)
3 (23%)
Submission
7 (50%)
3 (23%)
Decision
2 (14%)

Combat Edge model read

Danilo Belluardo61%
Scott McAfee 39%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Danilo Belluardo a 61% favorite over Scott McAfee in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Scott McAfee's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1536 vs 1539), separated by just 3 points.

Danilo Belluardo finishes 77% of wins inside the distance, Scott McAfee 86%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.