Combat Edge Intelligence

Danilo Belluardo vs Shaheen Santana

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

13-6-0Record8-3-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height6'1"
74,5"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight148 lbs
Aurora MMATeamMMA Masters

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Danilo BelluardoNow 1558
If they win+16→ 1574
If they lose-16→ 1542
Shaheen SantanaNow 1557
If they win+16→ 1573
If they lose-16→ 1541

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1521 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1528 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.52
Sig. strikes / min
0.82
62%
Strike accuracy
43%
4.79
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.65
41%
Strike defense
40%
3.50
Takedown avg.
0
100%
Takedown accuracy
0%
50%
Takedown defense
0%
0
Submission avg.
2.75

Trajectory

Danilo BelluardoShaheen Santana
1550160020192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (54%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
3 (23%)
Submission
6 (75%)
3 (23%)
Decision
2 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Danilo Belluardo59%
Shaheen Santana 41%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Danilo Belluardo a 59% favorite over Shaheen Santana in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1558 vs 1557), separated by just 1 points.

Danilo Belluardo finishes 77% of wins inside the distance, Shaheen Santana 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.