Combat Edge Intelligence

Danilo Marques vs Kennedy Nzechukwu

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-6-0Record14-6-1
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'6"Height6'5"
77"Reach83"
249 lbsWeight205 lbs
Kings MMATeamFortis MMA

What's at stake

Kennedy Nzechukwu is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Danilo Marques carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Danilo MarquesNow 1590
If they win+20→ 1610
If they lose-12→ 1578
Kennedy NzechukwuNow 1685
If they win+12→ 1697
If they lose-20→ 1665

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1596 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1646 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.44
Sig. strikes / min
4.96
80%
Strike accuracy
47%
2.52
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.58
52%
Strike defense
51%
3.93
Takedown avg.
0.50
29%
Takedown accuracy
0%
0%
Takedown defense
80%
0.79
Submission avg.
0.20

Trajectory

Danilo MarquesKennedy Nzechukwu
15501600165017002022202320242025

Win method breakdown

4 (27%)
KO/TKO
10 (71%)
7 (47%)
Submission
1 (7%)
4 (27%)
Decision
3 (21%)

Combat Edge model read

Kennedy Nzechukwu76%
Danilo Marques 24%Elo baseline: 63%

The Combat Edge model makes Kennedy Nzechukwu a 76% favorite over Danilo Marques in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).

Kennedy Nzechukwu holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1685 to 1590, a 95-point edge.

Danilo Marques finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Kennedy Nzechukwu 79%.

Kennedy Nzechukwu carries a 6-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.