Combat Edge Intelligence

Danilo Marques vs Khadis Ibragimov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-6-0Record11-7-0
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'6"Height6'2"
77"Reach78"
249 lbsWeight205 lbs
Kings MMATeamSambo Piter

What's at stake

Khadis Ibragimov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Danilo Marques carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Danilo MarquesNow 1590
If they win+19→ 1609
If they lose-13→ 1577
Khadis IbragimovNow 1649
If they win+13→ 1662
If they lose-19→ 1630

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1596 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1575 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.44
Sig. strikes / min
3.55
80%
Strike accuracy
50%
2.52
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.26
52%
Strike defense
47%
3.93
Takedown avg.
0.97
29%
Takedown accuracy
30%
0%
Takedown defense
81%
0.79
Submission avg.
0.32

Trajectory

Danilo MarquesKhadis Ibragimov
15501600165020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (27%)
KO/TKO
3 (30%)
7 (47%)
Submission
3 (30%)
4 (27%)
Decision
4 (40%)

Combat Edge model read

Khadis Ibragimov81%
Danilo Marques 19%Elo baseline: 58%

The Combat Edge model makes Khadis Ibragimov a 81% favorite over Danilo Marques in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).

Khadis Ibragimov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1649 to 1590, a 59-point edge.

Danilo Marques finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Khadis Ibragimov 60%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.