Danilo Marques vs Khadis Ibragimov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-6-0Record11-8-0
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'6"Height6'2"
77"Reach78"
249 lbsWeight205 lbs
Kings MMA· 1670 avg Elo · 7 ratedTeamSambo Piter
What's at stake
Khadis Ibragimov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Danilo Marques carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+19→ 1609
If they lose-13→ 1577
If they win+10→ 1658
If they lose-14→ 1634
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1596 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1637 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Danilo MarquesKhadis Ibragimov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Khadis Ibragimov75%
Danilo Marques 25%Elo baseline: 58%
The Combat Edge model makes Khadis Ibragimov a 75% favorite over Danilo Marques in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).
Khadis Ibragimov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1648 to 1590, a 58-point edge.
Khadis Ibragimov enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Danilo Marques finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Khadis Ibragimov 60%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.