Combat Edge Intelligence

Danilo Marques vs Murtaza Talha Ali

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-6-0Record6-1-0
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'6"Height6'0"
77"ReachTBD
249 lbsWeight205 lbs
Kings MMATeamKHK MMA TEAM

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Danilo MarquesNow 1590
If they win+16→ 1606
If they lose-16→ 1574
Murtaza Talha AliNow 1586
If they win+24→ 1610
If they lose-24→ 1562

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1596 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1539 · 8 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.44
Sig. strikes / min
4.91
80%
Strike accuracy
59%
2.52
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
8.29
52%
Strike defense
30%
3.93
Takedown avg.
0
29%
Takedown accuracy
0%
0%
Takedown defense
100%
0.79
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Danilo MarquesMurtaza Talha Ali
1550160016502022202320242025

Win method breakdown

4 (27%)
KO/TKO
3 (50%)
7 (47%)
Submission
3 (50%)
4 (27%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Murtaza Talha Ali60%
Danilo Marques 40%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Murtaza Talha Ali a 60% favorite over Danilo Marques in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Danilo Marques's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1590 vs 1586), separated by just 4 points.

Murtaza Talha Ali enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Danilo Marques finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Murtaza Talha Ali 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.