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Combat Edge Intelligence

Danilo Marques vs Ruslan Gabaraev

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

15-6-0Record7-3-0
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'6"Height6'1"
77"Reach-
249 lbsWeight205 lbs
Kings MMA· 1670 avg Elo · 7 ratedTeam

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Danilo MarquesNow 1590
If they win+16→ 1606
If they lose-16→ 1574
Ruslan GabaraevNow 1591
If they win+16→ 1607
If they lose-16→ 1575

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1596 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1568 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

1.44
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
80%
Strike accuracy
Not available
2.52
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
52%
Strike defense
Not available
3.93
Takedown avg.
Not available
29%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
0%
Takedown defense
Not available
0.79
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Danilo MarquesRuslan Gabaraev
15501600165020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (27%)
KO/TKO
2 (29%)
7 (47%)
Submission
0 (0%)
4 (27%)
Decision
5 (71%)

Combat Edge model read

Ruslan Gabaraev63%
Danilo Marques 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Ruslan Gabaraev a 63% favorite over Danilo Marques in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1590 vs 1591), separated by just 1 points.

Danilo Marques finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Ruslan Gabaraev 29%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.