Combat Edge Intelligence

Danilo Marques vs Tuco Tokkos

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tuco Tokkos

Tuco Tokkos

“Tuco”

11-6-0Light HeavyweightUFC

1592Solid

Tale of the tape

15-6-0Record11-6-0
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'6"Height6'4"
77"Reach76"
249 lbsWeight205 lbs
Kings MMATeamKill Cliff FC

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Danilo MarquesNow 1590
If they win+16→ 1606
If they lose-16→ 1574
Tuco TokkosNow 1592
If they win+16→ 1608
If they lose-16→ 1576

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1596 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1568 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.44
Sig. strikes / min
2.12
80%
Strike accuracy
40%
2.52
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.27
52%
Strike defense
47%
3.93
Takedown avg.
4.21
29%
Takedown accuracy
47%
0%
Takedown defense
33%
0.79
Submission avg.
0.47

Trajectory

Danilo MarquesTuco Tokkos
1550160020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (27%)
KO/TKO
6 (55%)
7 (47%)
Submission
3 (27%)
4 (27%)
Decision
2 (18%)

Combat Edge model read

Tuco Tokkos62%
Danilo Marques 38%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Tuco Tokkos a 62% favorite over Danilo Marques in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1590 vs 1592), separated by just 2 points.

Danilo Marques finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Tuco Tokkos 82%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.