Combat Edge Intelligence

Danilo Marques vs Tyson Pedro

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-6-0Record10-7-0
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'6"Height6'3"
77"Reach79"
249 lbsWeight205 lbs
Kings MMA· 1672 avg Elo · 7 ratedTeamLions High Performance Centre

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Danilo MarquesNow 1589
If they win+16→ 1605
If they lose-16→ 1573
Tyson PedroNow 1592
If they win+16→ 1608
If they lose-16→ 1576

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1595 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1635 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.44
Sig. strikes / min
2.90
80%
Strike accuracy
59%
2.52
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.39
52%
Strike defense
56%
3.93
Takedown avg.
0.76
29%
Takedown accuracy
15%
0%
Takedown defense
50%
0.79
Submission avg.
0.76

Trajectory

Danilo MarquesTyson Pedro
15501600165020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (27%)
KO/TKO
5 (50%)
7 (47%)
Submission
5 (50%)
4 (27%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Tyson Pedro63%
Danilo Marques 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Tyson Pedro a 63% favorite over Danilo Marques in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1589 vs 1592), separated by just 3 points.

Tyson Pedro enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Danilo Marques finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Tyson Pedro 100%.

Tyson Pedro carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.