Combat Edge Intelligence

Danny Abbadi vs Jorge Gurgel

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

4-6-0Record14-10-0
MiddleweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'9"
TBDReachTBD
185 lbsWeight154 lbs
TBDTeamTeam Jorge Gurgel

What's at stake

Jorge Gurgel is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Danny Abbadi carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Danny AbbadiNow 1535
If they win+26→ 1561
If they lose-22→ 1513
Jorge GurgelNow 1564
If they win+15→ 1579
If they lose-17→ 1547

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1538 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1620 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.29
Sig. strikes / min
3.40
38%
Strike accuracy
33%
4.41
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.83
58%
Strike defense
62%
0
Takedown avg.
0.86
TBD
Takedown accuracy
25%
78%
Takedown defense
60%
0
Submission avg.
0.14

Trajectory

Danny AbbadiJorge Gurgel
1550160020072008200920102011201220132014

Win method breakdown

3 (75%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Submission
10 (71%)
1 (25%)
Decision
4 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

Danny Abbadi60%
Jorge Gurgel 40%Elo baseline: 46%

The Combat Edge model makes Danny Abbadi a 60% favorite over Jorge Gurgel in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jorge Gurgel's way (46%).

Jorge Gurgel holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1564 to 1535, a 29-point edge.

Jorge Gurgel enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Danny Abbadi finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Jorge Gurgel 71%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.