Danny Barlow vs Evan Tanner
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-2-0Record32-8-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'0"
79"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight185 lbs
Law School MMATeamHard Knocks Kickboxing
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1667
If they lose-16→ 1635
If they win+12→ 1664
If they lose-12→ 1640
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1559 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1617 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Danny BarlowEvan Tanner
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Danny Barlow66%
Evan Tanner 34%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Danny Barlow a 66% favorite over Evan Tanner in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Evan Tanner's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1651 vs 1652), separated by just 1 points.
Danny Barlow enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Danny Barlow finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Evan Tanner 91%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.