Danny Barlow vs Matej Penaz
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-2-0Record9-1-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'3"
79"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight186 lbs
Law School MMATeamReinders MMA· 1602 avg Elo · 4 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1667
If they lose-16→ 1635
If they win+16→ 1672
If they lose-16→ 1640
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1559 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1502 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Danny BarlowMatej Penaz
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Matej Penaz52%
Danny Barlow 48%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Matej Penaz a 52% favorite over Danny Barlow in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1651 vs 1656), separated by just 5 points.
Danny Barlow enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Matej Penaz enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Danny Barlow finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Matej Penaz 89%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.