Combat Edge Intelligence

Danny Barlow vs Nate Marquardt

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Danny Barlow
us

Danny Barlow

“Left Hand 2 God”

9-2-0WelterweightUFC

1651Good

Tale of the tape

9-2-0Record36-20-2
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'0"
79"Reach42,0"
170 lbsWeight185 lbs
Law School MMATeamHigh Altitude Martial Arts

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Danny BarlowNow 1651
If they win+16→ 1667
If they lose-16→ 1635
Nate MarquardtNow 1651
If they win+12→ 1663
If they lose-12→ 1639

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1559 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1622 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.62
Sig. strikes / min
2.71
51%
Strike accuracy
49%
3.70
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.32
51%
Strike defense
56%
0
Takedown avg.
1.87
0%
Takedown accuracy
51%
100%
Takedown defense
71%
0
Submission avg.
0.85

Trajectory

Danny BarlowNate Marquardt
1600165017002022202320242025

Win method breakdown

5 (56%)
KO/TKO
13 (36%)
1 (11%)
Submission
15 (42%)
3 (33%)
Decision
8 (22%)

Combat Edge model read

Danny Barlow70%
Nate Marquardt 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Danny Barlow a 70% favorite over Nate Marquardt in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1651 vs 1651), separated by just 0 points.

Danny Barlow enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Danny Barlow finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Nate Marquardt 78%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.