Danny Barlow vs Sam Patterson
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-2-0Record15-3-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'2"Height6'4"
79"Reach78"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
What's at stake
Sam Patterson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Danny Barlow carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+20→ 1671
If they lose-12→ 1639
If they win+12→ 1758
If they lose-20→ 1726
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1560 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1640 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Danny BarlowSam Patterson
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Sam Patterson78%
Danny Barlow 22%Elo baseline: 63%
The Combat Edge model makes Sam Patterson a 78% favorite over Danny Barlow in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).
Sam Patterson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1746 to 1651, a 95-point edge.
Danny Barlow enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Danny Barlow finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Sam Patterson 93%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.