Danny Castillo vs Michael Johnson
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-10-0Record24-20-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'10"
71,0"Reach73"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Team Alpha Male· 1646 avg Elo · 20 ratedTeamKill Cliff FC
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1616
If they lose-12→ 1592
If they win+12→ 1624
If they lose-12→ 1600
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1652 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1667 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Danny CastilloMichael Johnson
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Michael Johnson57%
Danny Castillo 43%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Michael Johnson a 57% favorite over Danny Castillo in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1604 vs 1612), separated by just 8 points.
Danny Castillo enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Danny Castillo finishes 59% of wins inside the distance, Michael Johnson 50%.
Michael Johnson carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.