Danny Chavez vs Jared Gordon
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-5-1Record21-9-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'7"Height5'9"
67"Reach68"
145 lbsWeight156 lbs
MMA MastersTeamKill Cliff FC
What's at stake
Jared Gordon is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Danny Chavez carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+21→ 1593
If they lose-11→ 1561
If they win+8→ 1686
If they lose-16→ 1662
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1547 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1704 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Danny ChavezJared Gordon
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jared Gordon70%
Danny Chavez 30%Elo baseline: 65%
The Combat Edge model makes Jared Gordon a 70% favorite over Danny Chavez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (65%).
Jared Gordon holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1678 to 1572, a 106-point edge.
Jared Gordon enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Danny Chavez finishes 27% of wins inside the distance, Jared Gordon 48%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.