Danny Chavez vs TJ Brown
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
11-5-1Record20-12-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'7"Height5'9"
67"Reach72"
145 lbsWeight156 lbs
MMA MastersTeamWestside MMA
What's at stake
TJ Brown is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Danny Chavez carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1589
If they lose-15→ 1557
If they win+11→ 1612
If they lose-13→ 1588
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1547 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1606 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Danny ChavezTJ Brown
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Danny Chavez and TJ Brown within a point of even.
TJ Brown holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1601 to 1572, a 29-point edge.
Danny Chavez finishes 27% of wins inside the distance, TJ Brown 80%.
Danny Chavez and TJ Brown share 1 common opponent: Kai Kamaka III.
TJ Brown carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.