Combat Edge Intelligence

Danny Henry vs Josh Culibao

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Danny Henry
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Danny Henry

“The Hatchet”

12-4-0FeatherweightUFC

1639Solid

Tale of the tape

12-4-0Record11-4-1
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'11"Height5'9"
73,0"Reach73"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Higher Level MMATeamIgor MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Danny HenryNow 1639
If they win+16→ 1655
If they lose-16→ 1623
Josh CulibaoNow 1638
If they win+16→ 1654
If they lose-16→ 1622

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1565 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1624 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.20
Sig. strikes / min
3.41
52%
Strike accuracy
45%
4.16
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.04
46%
Strike defense
60%
0.74
Takedown avg.
0
33%
Takedown accuracy
0%
50%
Takedown defense
66%
2.23
Submission avg.
0.29

Trajectory

Danny HenryJosh Culibao
16502018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

5 (42%)
KO/TKO
5 (45%)
5 (42%)
Submission
1 (9%)
2 (17%)
Decision
5 (45%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Danny Henry and Josh Culibao within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1639 vs 1638), separated by just 1 points.

Danny Henry enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Josh Culibao enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Danny Henry finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Josh Culibao 55%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.