Combat Edge Intelligence

Danny Martinez vs Scott Jorgensen

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

21-9-0Record15-12-0
FlyweightDivisionBantamweight
5'5"Height5'5"
TBDReach37.00
125 lbsWeight135 lbs
Alliance MMATeamTwisted Genetiks

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Danny MartinezNow 1616
If they win+12→ 1628
If they lose-12→ 1604
Scott JorgensenNow 1628
If they win+15→ 1643
If they lose-17→ 1611

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1543 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1642 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.73
Sig. strikes / min
3.37
29%
Strike accuracy
40%
3.77
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.41
64%
Strike defense
65%
3
Takedown avg.
2.61
45%
Takedown accuracy
46%
37%
Takedown defense
60%
0
Submission avg.
0.73

Trajectory

Danny MartinezScott Jorgensen
1600165020132014201520162017

Win method breakdown

9 (43%)
KO/TKO
2 (13%)
4 (19%)
Submission
5 (33%)
8 (38%)
Decision
8 (53%)

Combat Edge model read

Scott Jorgensen54%
Danny Martinez 46%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes Scott Jorgensen a 54% favorite over Danny Martinez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1616 vs 1628), separated by just 12 points.

Danny Martinez enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Danny Martinez finishes 62% of wins inside the distance, Scott Jorgensen 47%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.