Combat Edge Intelligence

Danny Martinez vs Sirwan Kakai

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

21-9-0Record12-5-0
FlyweightDivisionBantamweight
5'5"Height5'6"
TBDReachTBD
125 lbsWeight135 lbs
Alliance MMATeamGBG MMA

What's at stake

Danny Martinez is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Sirwan Kakai carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Danny MartinezNow 1616
If they win+8→ 1624
If they lose-16→ 1600
Sirwan KakaiNow 1498
If they win+32→ 1530
If they lose-16→ 1482

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1543 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1628 · 3 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.73
Sig. strikes / min
3.57
29%
Strike accuracy
41%
3.77
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.63
64%
Strike defense
62%
3
Takedown avg.
4
45%
Takedown accuracy
42%
37%
Takedown defense
83%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Danny MartinezSirwan Kakai
150015501600165020162017

Win method breakdown

9 (43%)
KO/TKO
4 (33%)
4 (19%)
Submission
6 (50%)
8 (38%)
Decision
2 (17%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Danny Martinez and Sirwan Kakai within a point of even.

Danny Martinez holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1616 to 1498, a 118-point edge.

Danny Martinez enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Sirwan Kakai enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Danny Martinez finishes 62% of wins inside the distance, Sirwan Kakai 83%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.