Combat Edge Intelligence

Danny Roberts vs David Zawada

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Danny Roberts

Danny Roberts

“Hot Chocolate”

18-8-0WelterweightUFC

1617Solid

Tale of the tape

18-8-0Record19-10-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'0"
74"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight185 lbs
Team McHaleTeamUFD Gym

What's at stake

Danny Roberts is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — David Zawada carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Danny RobertsNow 1617
If they win+15→ 1632
If they lose-17→ 1600
David ZawadaNow 1593
If they win+13→ 1606
If they lose-11→ 1582

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1656 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1642 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.18
Sig. strikes / min
3.84
40%
Strike accuracy
41%
3.73
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.54
51%
Strike defense
56%
0.24
Takedown avg.
0.97
10%
Takedown accuracy
33%
58%
Takedown defense
57%
0.24
Submission avg.
1.69

Trajectory

Danny RobertsDavid Zawada
16001650202320242025

Win method breakdown

8 (44%)
KO/TKO
12 (63%)
5 (28%)
Submission
5 (26%)
5 (28%)
Decision
2 (11%)

Combat Edge model read

Danny Roberts52%
David Zawada 48%Elo baseline: 53%

The Combat Edge model makes Danny Roberts a 52% favorite over David Zawada in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).

Danny Roberts holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1617 to 1593, a 24-point edge.

Danny Roberts enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

David Zawada enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Danny Roberts finishes 72% of wins inside the distance, David Zawada 89%.

Danny Roberts and David Zawada share 1 common opponent: Ramazan Emeev.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinDecision - Split · 2021
Ramazan Emeev
LossDecision (split) · 2021