Danny Roberts vs David Zawada
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-8-0Record20-13-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'0"
74"Reach75"
170 lbsWeight185 lbs
Team McHaleTeamUFD Gym
What's at stake
Danny Roberts is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — David Zawada carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1630
If they lose-19→ 1598
If they win+14→ 1574
If they lose-10→ 1550
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1654 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1612 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Danny RobertsDavid Zawada
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
David Zawada60%
Danny Roberts 40%Elo baseline: 42%
The Combat Edge model makes David Zawada a 60% favorite over Danny Roberts in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Danny Roberts's way (42%).
Danny Roberts holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1617 to 1560, a 57-point edge.
Danny Roberts enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Danny Roberts finishes 72% of wins inside the distance, David Zawada 85%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.