Combat Edge Intelligence

Danny Roberts vs Dominique Steele

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Danny Roberts

Danny Roberts

“Hot Chocolate”

18-8-0WelterweightUFC

1617Solid

Tale of the tape

18-8-0Record20-12-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height5'10"
74"Reach74,0"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Team McHaleTeamTeam Vision

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Danny RobertsNow 1617
If they win+16→ 1633
If they lose-16→ 1601
Dominique SteeleNow 1609
If they win+12→ 1621
If they lose-12→ 1597

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1656 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1565 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.18
Sig. strikes / min
2.32
40%
Strike accuracy
49%
3.73
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.42
51%
Strike defense
50%
0.24
Takedown avg.
2.95
10%
Takedown accuracy
42%
58%
Takedown defense
76%
0.24
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Danny RobertsDominique Steele
16001650202320242025

Win method breakdown

8 (44%)
KO/TKO
7 (35%)
5 (28%)
Submission
2 (10%)
5 (28%)
Decision
11 (55%)

Combat Edge model read

Danny Roberts53%
Dominique Steele 47%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Danny Roberts a 53% favorite over Dominique Steele in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1617 vs 1609), separated by just 8 points.

Danny Roberts enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Dominique Steele enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Danny Roberts finishes 72% of wins inside the distance, Dominique Steele 45%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.