Combat Edge Intelligence

Danny Roberts vs Hernani Perpetuo

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Danny Roberts
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Danny Roberts

“Hot Chocolate”

18-8-0WelterweightUFC

1617Solid

Tale of the tape

18-8-0Record21-9-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height6'0"
74"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Team McHaleTeamNova Uniao

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Danny RobertsNow 1617
If they win+16→ 1633
If they lose-16→ 1601
Hernani PerpetuoNow 1615
If they win+12→ 1627
If they lose-12→ 1603

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1654 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1571 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.18
Sig. strikes / min
2.73
40%
Strike accuracy
29%
3.73
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.37
51%
Strike defense
55%
0.24
Takedown avg.
0
10%
Takedown accuracy
0%
58%
Takedown defense
38%
0.24
Submission avg.
0.50

Trajectory

Danny RobertsHernani Perpetuo
16001650202320242025

Win method breakdown

8 (44%)
KO/TKO
10 (48%)
5 (28%)
Submission
5 (24%)
5 (28%)
Decision
6 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

Danny Roberts56%
Hernani Perpetuo 44%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Danny Roberts a 56% favorite over Hernani Perpetuo in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1617 vs 1615), separated by just 2 points.

Danny Roberts enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Danny Roberts finishes 72% of wins inside the distance, Hernani Perpetuo 71%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.