Danny Roberts vs Jack Della Maddalena
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-8-0Record18-4-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height5'11"
74"Reach73"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Team McHaleTeamScrappy MMA
What's at stake
Jack Della Maddalena is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Danny Roberts carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+23→ 1640
If they lose-9→ 1608
If they win+9→ 1786
If they lose-23→ 1754
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1656 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1743 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Danny RobertsJack Della Maddalena
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jack Della Maddalena92%
Danny Roberts 8%Elo baseline: 72%
The Combat Edge model makes Jack Della Maddalena a 92% favorite over Danny Roberts in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (72%).
Jack Della Maddalena holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1777 to 1617, a 160-point edge.
Danny Roberts enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Jack Della Maddalena enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Danny Roberts finishes 72% of wins inside the distance, Jack Della Maddalena 78%.
Danny Roberts and Jack Della Maddalena share 1 common opponent: Ramazan Emeev.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.