Combat Edge Intelligence

Danny Roberts vs Jan Stanovský

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Danny Roberts
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Danny Roberts

“Hot Chocolate”

18-8-0WelterweightUFC

1617Solid

Tale of the tape

18-8-0Record8-3-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height5'10"
74"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight160 lbs
Team McHaleTeamJetsaam Gym Brno· 1629 avg Elo · 3 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Danny RobertsNow 1617
If they win+16→ 1633
If they lose-16→ 1601
Jan StanovskýNow 1612
If they win+16→ 1628
If they lose-16→ 1596

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1654 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1507 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.18
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
40%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.73
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
51%
Strike defense
TBD
0.24
Takedown avg.
TBD
10%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
58%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.24
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Danny RobertsJan Stanovský
15001550160016502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (44%)
KO/TKO
4 (50%)
5 (28%)
Submission
3 (38%)
5 (28%)
Decision
1 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Jan Stanovský66%
Danny Roberts 34%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Jan Stanovský a 66% favorite over Danny Roberts in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Danny Roberts's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1617 vs 1612), separated by just 5 points.

Danny Roberts enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Danny Roberts finishes 72% of wins inside the distance, Jan Stanovský 88%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.