Combat Edge Intelligence

Danny Roberts vs Jonny Parsons

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Danny Roberts

Danny Roberts

“Hot Chocolate”

18-8-0WelterweightUFC

1617Solid
Jonny Parsons
us

Jonny Parsons

“The Sluggernaut”

9-3-0WelterweightUFC

1641Solid

Tale of the tape

18-8-0Record9-3-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height5'10"
74"Reach69,0"
170 lbsWeight171 lbs
Team McHaleTeamSyndicate MMA

What's at stake

Jonny Parsons is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Danny Roberts carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Danny RobertsNow 1617
If they win+17→ 1634
If they lose-15→ 1602
Jonny ParsonsNow 1641
If they win+15→ 1656
If they lose-17→ 1624

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1656 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1527 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.18
Sig. strikes / min
4.65
40%
Strike accuracy
45%
3.73
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.89
51%
Strike defense
60%
0.24
Takedown avg.
0
10%
Takedown accuracy
0%
58%
Takedown defense
67%
0.24
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Danny RobertsJonny Parsons
15501600165020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

8 (44%)
KO/TKO
7 (78%)
5 (28%)
Submission
0 (0%)
5 (28%)
Decision
2 (22%)

Combat Edge model read

Jonny Parsons70%
Danny Roberts 30%Elo baseline: 53%

The Combat Edge model makes Jonny Parsons a 70% favorite over Danny Roberts in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).

Jonny Parsons holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1641 to 1617, a 24-point edge.

Danny Roberts enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Jonny Parsons enters on a 6-fight win streak.

Danny Roberts finishes 72% of wins inside the distance, Jonny Parsons 78%.

Danny Roberts carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.