Combat Edge Intelligence

Danny Roberts vs Kiichi Kunimoto

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Danny Roberts

Danny Roberts

“Hot Chocolate”

18-8-0WelterweightUFC

1617Solid

Tale of the tape

18-8-0Record20-10-2
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height5'10"
74"Reach71,0"
170 lbsWeight169 lbs
Team McHaleTeamCobra Kai MMA Dojo

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Danny RobertsNow 1617
If they win+16→ 1633
If they lose-16→ 1601
Kiichi KunimotoNow 1614
If they win+12→ 1626
If they lose-12→ 1602

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1656 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1598 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.18
Sig. strikes / min
1.87
40%
Strike accuracy
44%
3.73
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.92
51%
Strike defense
41%
0.24
Takedown avg.
1.59
10%
Takedown accuracy
20%
58%
Takedown defense
29%
0.24
Submission avg.
0.32

Trajectory

Danny RobertsKiichi Kunimoto
160016502022202320242025

Win method breakdown

8 (44%)
KO/TKO
2 (11%)
5 (28%)
Submission
10 (53%)
5 (28%)
Decision
7 (37%)

Combat Edge model read

Danny Roberts53%
Kiichi Kunimoto 47%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Danny Roberts a 53% favorite over Kiichi Kunimoto in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1617 vs 1614), separated by just 3 points.

Danny Roberts enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Kiichi Kunimoto enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Danny Roberts finishes 72% of wins inside the distance, Kiichi Kunimoto 63%.

Danny Roberts carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.