Danny Roberts vs Michel Pereira
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-8-0Record32-15-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'1"
74"Reach73"
170 lbsWeight186 lbs
Team McHaleTeamOvercome Academy
What's at stake
Michel Pereira is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Danny Roberts carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+19→ 1636
If they lose-13→ 1604
If they win+9→ 1701
If they lose-15→ 1677
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1656 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1701 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Danny RobertsMichel Pereira
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Michel Pereira84%
Danny Roberts 16%Elo baseline: 61%
The Combat Edge model makes Michel Pereira a 84% favorite over Danny Roberts in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).
Michel Pereira holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1692 to 1617, a 75-point edge.
Danny Roberts enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Danny Roberts finishes 72% of wins inside the distance, Michel Pereira 63%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.