Danny Roberts vs Mike Perry
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-8-0Record15-8-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height5'10"
74"Reach 71"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Team McHaleTeamIndependent
What's at stake
Mike Perry is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Danny Roberts carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+19→ 1636
If they lose-13→ 1604
If they win+13→ 1699
If they lose-19→ 1667
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1656 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1698 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Danny RobertsMike Perry
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mike Perry76%
Danny Roberts 24%Elo baseline: 60%
The Combat Edge model makes Mike Perry a 76% favorite over Danny Roberts in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).
Mike Perry holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1686 to 1617, a 69-point edge.
Danny Roberts enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Danny Roberts finishes 72% of wins inside the distance, Mike Perry 80%.
Danny Roberts carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.