Combat Edge Intelligence

Danny Roberts vs Nordine Taleb

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Danny Roberts
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Danny Roberts

“Hot Chocolate”

18-8-0WelterweightUFC

1617Solid

Tale of the tape

18-8-0Record15-7-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height6'1"
74"Reach74,5"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Team McHaleTeamTristar Gym

What's at stake

Nordine Taleb is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Danny Roberts carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Danny RobertsNow 1617
If they win+18→ 1635
If they lose-14→ 1603
Nordine TalebNow 1651
If they win+14→ 1665
If they lose-18→ 1633

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1654 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1657 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.18
Sig. strikes / min
3.66
40%
Strike accuracy
51%
3.73
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.62
51%
Strike defense
67%
0.24
Takedown avg.
1.94
10%
Takedown accuracy
76%
58%
Takedown defense
74%
0.24
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Danny RobertsNordine Taleb
16001650170020182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

8 (44%)
KO/TKO
7 (47%)
5 (28%)
Submission
0 (0%)
5 (28%)
Decision
8 (53%)

Combat Edge model read

Nordine Taleb60%
Danny Roberts 40%Elo baseline: 55%

The Combat Edge model makes Nordine Taleb a 60% favorite over Danny Roberts in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).

Nordine Taleb holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1651 to 1617, a 34-point edge.

Danny Roberts enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Danny Roberts finishes 72% of wins inside the distance, Nordine Taleb 47%.

Danny Roberts and Nordine Taleb share 2 common opponents: Claudio Silva and Oliver Enkamp.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (2)

LossSUB · 2019
Claudio Silva
LossSUB · 2018
WinKO/TKO · 2018
Oliver Enkamp
WinDEC · 2017