Danny Roberts vs Orion Cosce
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-8-0Record8-2-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height5'11"
74"Reach71,0"
170 lbsWeight173 lbs
Team McHaleTeamLost Boys Jiu-Jitsu and Muay Thai
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1633
If they lose-16→ 1601
If they win+16→ 1633
If they lose-16→ 1601
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1654 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1538 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Danny RobertsOrion Cosce
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Orion Cosce70%
Danny Roberts 30%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Orion Cosce a 70% favorite over Danny Roberts in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Danny Roberts's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1617 vs 1617), separated by just 0 points.
Danny Roberts enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Danny Roberts finishes 72% of wins inside the distance, Orion Cosce 88%.
Danny Roberts carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.